The action in the third round of the French Open continues on Saturday, with the last eight men’s singles matches of the round. Dan Weston gives an outlook on the coming day …
« Most of the games on the schedule look like inconsistencies. Diego Schwartzman, Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini are also strong favorites for advancement, so only two are relatively competitive Matches are on the schedule. «
It was a tough day in Paris yesterday when our third quarter player Casper Ruud lost a four and a half hour five-setter to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina despite winning 52% of the points in the game . Reilly Opelka also failed to cover the game handicap against Daniil Medvedev, who is gaining more confidence in the market and has now reduced it to 28,027 / 1 fifth favorite.
On this overall market, Rafa Nadal still has odds of 1,855 / 6, with Novak Djokovic 5.79 / 2 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 7.613 / 2, suggesting that the probability that the winner will be from this trio is around 85%.
Both Nadal and Djokovic are today in action, and as with previous rounds, they are pegged as a virtual goodbye – Djokovic takes on Lithuanian Ricardas Berankis while Nadal is an overwhelming favorite to end British interest in singles with the King by Clay versus Cameron Norrie. </ I agree with the market prices for the elite duo, and in fact, I largely agree with the market for all of the men's games today. The expectations of Roger Federer are a little more conservative, which is 1.351 / 3 for his meeting with the improving Dominik Koepfer, and I think the price is reasonable. We still don't really know what we're going to get from Federer as there has been a lack of game activity for the past year and a half and his four-set win against Marin Cilic on Thursday was arguably a little closer than the score suggested.
Most of the games on the board look like inconsistencies. Diego Schwartzman, Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini are also strong favorites for advancement, so there are only two relatively competitive duels on the schedule.
Both will also take place fairly early in the day, so if you want to see a competitive men’s match, you have to You may focus on this. The first is a purely Italian encounter between Marco Cecchinato and Lorenzo Musetti. Cecchinato caused a real shock in 2018 when he reached the semi-finals here as an unset player, defeating Novak Djokovic before being eliminated by Dominic Thiem. It’s gotten a little tougher lately for Cecchinato, and he was outside of the top 100 prior to the tournament.
However, he still retains solid clay skills – far better than his ranking on the surface – but the same goes for his opponent Musetti. The 19-year-old is looking to make it into the top ten, especially with huge clay potential. This year, Musetti is close to 103% combined serve / return points won in Main Tour games on clay, and for a player who has just turned 19, he really is a player to watch. He’s 1,728 / 11 to take the win, which looks about right to me.
Finally, Carlos Alcaraz Garfia is another young player who seems to be on his way to the top on clay, with the recent 18th -Year-olds this year even better sand values than Musetti can show. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Spaniard wins this tournament in the future, but today he has to focus on beating Jan-Lennard Struff. Alcaraz Garfia 1,594 / 7 doing which I think is less than a million miles away from having value – anything around 1,654 / 6 or higher and I’d be more tempted.
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