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BUCHAREST (Reuters) – Romania’s opposition Social Democrats (PSD) have taken the lead in Sunday’s national elections, which are seen as crucial to the country’s future in European mainstream, according to partial results on Monday, but it is unlikely to form the next government.
The PSD, which sparked a wave of voter dissatisfaction with the coronavirus pandemic and commitments by the liberal minority government to tax restraint, will struggle to form a working majority against incumbent Prime Minister Ludovic Orban.
President Klaus Iohannis, an ally of the Liberals who can appoint the Prime Minister, has repeatedly stated that he will task Orban with forming a center-right coalition government in order to contain a burgeoning budget deficit and the credibility of the state of the European Union restore among foreign investors.
According to Romanian law, the president is not obliged to choose a prime minister from the victorious party if he has not obtained a direct majority.
Orban himself claimed victory on Sunday night after polls showed the result was too close to be named. He was confident that he could build a center-right coalition government.
Partial results showed that the PSD won almost 30% of the vote for both houses of parliament, while the Liberals received 25-26%. The centrist alliance USR-Plus, a likely coalition partner of the Liberals, won 15-16% of the vote.
Reallocations of parliamentary seats will change the final percentages and favor the largest parties, but analysts said the Liberals and USR-Plus would likely have to co-opt at least one other grouping to get a majority, increasing the prospect of difficult negotiations on key portfolios and guidelines.
« It’s a poor result for the Liberal Party, » said Sergiu Miscoiu, professor of political science at Babes Bolyai University. « The more parties it takes to form a coalition, the more complicated the compromises it has to make. «
The next parliament is expected to have only five or six parties, including the ethnic Hungarian UDMR and the Newcomer Alliance for Uniting Romanians (AUR), an ultra-nationalist group formed a year ago that received 9% of the vote.
The populist PMP, founded by former President Traian Basescu, was waiting to see if it had crossed the 5% threshold for joining parliament.
Liberal leaders, USR-Plus and UDMR, said Sunday they are in favor of a center-right coalition government, as does PMP. Negotiations with the Social Democrats are most clearly excluded.
The EU would welcome an Orban-led government after years of attempts by a number of Romanian PSD cabinets to suppress the independence of the judiciary – an indictment they had denied – that overhauled the judiciary in Poland and Hungary reflected.
Orban also stood up for a promise to bring Romania closer to the EU mainstream after years of financial populism, political instability and neglect of run-down infrastructure and public services.
The turnout was the lowest since the fall of communism in 1989, at just one in three Romanians. Disappointment over failed reforms was compounded by fears of coronavirus infection in polling stations.
Romania, 2020 Romanian parliamentary elections, Ludovic Orban, National Liberal Party, exit poll
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Ref: https://www.swissinfo.ch