By
Chris Amberley
in the
College basketball
– February 18, 2021, 5:00 p.m. PST
The two best teams in the MAC meet on Friday when Toledo (17-6, 12-3 MAC) visits Buffalo (9-6, 7-4 MAC) . The top team at the conference, the Rockets, lost two last time, while the Bulls won their previous game for the third time in a row.
Buffalo became a 1.5 point favorite in one game opened with a total of 160 points. The over / under is reasonable given the quality of these two offenses as each program averages north of 80 points per game.
The Rockets’ MAC best offensive was in their last competition, an 87-75 win over Miami (OH) to see. Marreon Jackson led the way with a triple-double, pouring 18 points while handing out 11 assists and snapping 10 boards.
This is a sweep of the season against the Redhawks 🧹 @ spencerlittleso – 25 points (7-14 3pt FG ), 3reb @ marreon_jackson – 18 points, 11ast, 10reb (first career triple-double) @_ Moneyballry – 12 points, 3stl # GoRockets 🚀 pic. twitter.com/V0UttDZKru
Spencer Littleson splashed 25 while Ryan Rollins slumped 12 points. Toledo shot 49.1% from the field and 44.1% from outside the arc, jumping out to a 25 point lead and never looking back.
The Rockets are lining up for a March Madness berth for the first time since 1979 . Should they win the MAC crown, they could possibly draw a cheap matchup for the first round.
Toledo ➡️ Cleveland! 🚀🚀🚀 @ ToledoMBB has secured a spot in the upcoming MAC men’s basketball tournament at @RMFieldHouse! #LiftOff | #MACtion pic.twitter.com/qMAkEHV7mG
You not only lead the conference in the ranking, but also take first place in the field goals and the 3-point field goals as well as second place in the templates. </ However, defensive is where they are vulnerable. They allow the sixth most points in the MAC and have given in at least 75 points in four of their last five games.
The Bulls took their third straight win last week by at least 20 points, destroying Western Michigan 86-54. Jaylon Graves carried the offensive with 16 points while Josh Mballa scored 13 points and 12 boards and four other Buffalo players hit double digits.
The Bulls shot 46.5% off the field, dominating the glass with a total of 49-32 and won the assistant fight at eight. They kept the Broncos 34.6% off the field and forced a whopping 19 turnovers. No MAC defense allows enemy shooters a lower percentage of field targets than Buffalo, and they also come first in blocks and thefts.
However, a big reason for their impressive defensive numbers is the lack of qualified opponents. The whole season they only played against two teams that were in the top 105 and dropped 84 and 107 points in these competitions.
On the offensive, their bread is buttered, as they finished second in points in the conference per game, third in shooting rate and first in offensive rebound.
The Rockets will be one of the best teams the Bulls have faced all season, and when their last two games against top 105 programs are indicative, this will be another high score matter. The over is 9-5 in Buffalo games and 7-4 against MAC opponents.
11 of Toledo’s 15 conference games topped the total, including eight out of 10 on the road. The over is 4-0 in games where they are an underdog, and their outings have a pretty strong record of being north of the total even if the over / under is on the high side. In games with a total of at least 150 points, six of the Rockets’ seven competitions are over and have exceeded the number by an average of 10.5 points.
Chris began his career more than 15 years ago at Hockey Night in Canada. Since then he has worked for TSN for over 12 years as an author, line-up producer, field producer, newsroom supervisor for Sportscentre and currently as a promotional producer.
Chris started his career at Hockey Night in Canada over 15 years ago. Since then he has worked for TSN for over 12 years as an author, line-up producer, field producer, newsroom supervisor for Sportscentre and currently as a promotional producer.
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