Nothing to fear in today’s weather report « The sage in a storm prays to God, not to be safe from danger, but to be delivered from fear » wrote Ralph Waldo Emerson Unless you’ve lived in a cave (where can I register?), You realize the next few weeks will be tough for our state and nation I’m trying to cut the noise and retain the right people who do amazing things They don’t make the news that often – but they’re out there
After a premature taste of December last week, with a few exceptions, the next 1-2 weeks will offer relief from premature ice and wind chill
No big storm looming on the horizon, but a weekend mower will draw another chilly blow to Minnesota on Sunday A Pacific breeze returns next week with a series of 50 to 60 degrees n ‘ is not out of the question You could soon run out of excuses not to sweep the yard
As we contemplate a warm front, New Orleans braces for Hurricane Zeta, Californians are fleeing wildfires, and an ice storm has extinguished parts of Oklahoma and Texas
Forecast: Full Moon on Halloween Technically it’s a « hunter’s moon » USA TODAY has details: « Halloween night will feature the lunar event of the year For the first time since decades, there will be a full moon visible across the whole of the US on Halloween night, Oct 31 The last time a full moon was seen across the US The Halloween time zone was 1944, according to The Farmers’ Almanac The next time we see an equally spooky Halloween full moon is 2039, so plan your werewolf costumes accordingly The Halloween full moon is also known as the « moon » blue « because it is the second full moon of the month »
Color me skeptical The ECMWF also shows significant warming by the middle of next week, but GFS (above) shows temperatures exceeding a cliff by the second week of November It’s going to cool down , but I doubt it’s as sudden or extreme Meteogram MSP: WeatherBell
Zeta near the Gulf of Mexico Zeta made landfall as a hurricane around 11 p.m. Last night near Ciudad Chemuyil, Mexico Zeta continued to move through the Yucatan Peninsula overnight, weakening lightly doing so, and approaching the north coast, preparing to cross into the Gulf of Mexico At 7 a.m., Zeta was located about 45 miles east of Progreso, Mexico, or 540 miles south of the mouth of the Mississippi, and was moving northwest at 14 mph Zeta had winds speed of 70 mph and tropical storm force winds extend up to 140 km from the center
Track Zeta Zeta will cross into the southern Gulf of Mexico in the next few hours, continuing to move northwest today We will eventually see a turn to the north tonight and to the northeast (with a faster forward speed) Wednesday This will bring the Zeta center to the northern Gulf Coast later in the day Wednesday or Wednesday evening Once it is over the Gulf of Mexico later in the day additional reinforcement will be waited with Zeta becoming a hurricane again The greatest chance of strengthening will be in the next 24 hours, as once Zeta reaches the northern Gulf of Mexico stronger winds aloft and cooler water should cause the strengthening to stop and there could potentially be weakening just before landing By now, Zeta is expected to be close to hurricane force as it arrives along the southeastern coast of Louisiana
Hurricane and Tropical Storm Warnings Tropical storm warnings continue this morning from Punta Allen to Progreso, Mexico, as well as Cozumel, as Zeta continues to impact the region Before Zeta in the U.S. hurricane warnings have been issued from Morgan City, LA, to the Mississippi / Alabama border, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and the New Orleans metropolis Tropical storm warnings are in place from Mississippi / Alabama border to Okaloosa / Walton County Line, FL Tropical storm watches are in place from west Morgan City to Intracoastal City, LA Warnings are typically issued 36 hours before the first tropical storm force winds
Tropical Storm Winds Arrive As Zeta accelerates towards the northern Gulf Coast tomorrow, tropical storm winds will begin to impact both the coast and areas well within them. lands as we head into Wednesday and Wednesday evening With the arrival of tropical storm force winds any last minute preparation will become difficult and dangerous If possible, preparations should be completed across the region by tonight or early during the day tomorrow
Wind gusts predicted by Biloxi As Zeta nears the coast tomorrow evening, winds will rapidly increase in areas like Biloxi The strongest gusts of wind – potentially hurricane strength – can be expected late in the evening
Storm surge concerns As is typical with a stronger landing system, storm surge flooding is expected along the coast (where normally dry areas near the coast are flooded due to rushing water inland), especially if the water surge occurs around high tide The highest storm surge forecast at present is Port Fourchon, LA, to Dauphin Island, AL, including Lake Borgne, where a 4 to 6 foot peak wave is possible In Biloxi, high tide on Wednesday is at 1:22 a.m. and 12:42 p.m., high tide occurring Thursday at 12:29 a.m., 1:53 p.m. and 11:22 p.m. Storm warnings have been issued from Intracoastal City, LA, to Navarre, FL including Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Vermilion Bay, Pensacola Bay and Mobile Bay
Heavy rain threatens As heavy rains begin to affect the Gulf Coast this evening, spreading north into the Tennessee Valley on Wednesday, the main heavy rains with Zeta will grow in the region later Wednesday through Thursday with rainfall amounts of at least 2-4 « (isolated 6 ») This heavy rain will lead to potential flooding throughout the region Flash Flood watches have already been issued for northern Georgia, including Atlanta, from Wednesday morning to Thursday evening
Tornado Threat Tropical systems affecting land can also produce a tornado threat, and because of this, a slight risk of severe weather is in place in parts of southern Alabama and the west from Florida
Ice and Snow Ice and snow continue to fall over parts of the southern United States this morning, with overnight reports of up to at least half an inch of ice over parts of the central US ‘Oklahoma
Winter Weather Alerts Ice storm warnings continue in parts of Texas and Oklahoma today and Wednesday due to additional thick ice forecast In some areas an additional half inch of ice could fall In Oklahoma City, ice storm warnings continue until 1 p.m. Wednesday In areas primarily west of the ice storm warning, winter storm warnings are in place due to potential for heavy falls snow and in some areas mixed precipitation
Potential for ice In parts of Texas and Oklahoma, at least an additional third of an inch of ice could fall today through Wednesday This type of icing will likely cause power outages and tree damage and travel will be difficult
Snow potential The heaviest additional snow expected in parts of New Mexico, where some areas could see 6-12 « of additional snow At least 2-4 » of additional snow is expected in Amarillo and Lubbock
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Concerns about the fires Yesterday we saw the Silverado Fire ignite causing evacuations in Irvine, Calif.This fire burned 7,200 acres and is 0% contained We also saw the Blue Ridge fire cause Mandatory Evacuations Last night’s blaze pushed toward Chino Hills and burned approximately 8,000 acres with 0% containment The latest information on these two fires can be found with the Orange County Fire Authority on Twitter: https: / / twittercom / OCFA_PIO Fiery weather conditions with strong winds and low humidity values continue in the western United States today with numerous fire weather warnings in place The Office of the National Weather Service in Los Angeles says this is a particularly dangerous situation in the MOON County Mountains due to moderate to strong Santa Ana winds (50-80 mph)
Fire Outlook Today We can see some of the higher risk areas today highlighted in the red shaded areas of northern and southern California as well as the Lower Colorado Valley
Wind Forecast Today Peak wind gusts of 50 to 80 mph are possible today in the LUNE County Mountains, where these strong winds may stimulate the growth of fires
Wind Alerts Numerous wind advisories and strong wind warnings are in place in parts of the western United States today due to the expected strong winds
California wildfires force tens of thousands to evacuate Orange County amid high winds Here is a clip from Capital Weather Gang: « Winds are still expected to cause a spread rapid fire and extreme fire behavior, although not as strong as they were on Monday, when a gust of 96 mph was measured in Los Angeles County and gusts up to 88 mph in rough areas near Fremont Canyon Ontario airport experienced a gust of 70 mph and had to close due to high cross winds This week’s extreme winds brought the most dangerous conditions the Los Angeles area has seen since October 2019 , National Weather Service forecasters said To raise awareness of the threat, the Los Angeles Meteorological Service office called Monday’s fire weather a « particularly dangerous situation » (PDS) – a label it reserves for rare events that combine superior wind gusts. at 60 mph with single digit humidity and heavy flammable vegetation «
Living in Danger: Why Most Flood Risks Go Undisclosed NPR has a troubling history; Here is an excerpt: « But no one told the Obbinks that they were putting themselves in danger, because no one had to: neither their real estate agent, nor the seller, nor the inspector Or any government agency, or the real estate website that listed the property A growing body of research suggests that the lack of transparency and the growing risk of flooding from climate change is leading millions of Americans to put their safety and future on the line. Financial at Risk Around 15 million properties are at significant risk of flooding, recent estimates that take climate-related weather into account.However, studies in several states have found that most people at risk do not understand the risk flooding their house only after buying it »
The City That Rebuilt Green It can be done, and we’ll see more of it in the years to come as communities strive to become more storm-resistant and resilient Here is an excerpt from a Washington Post article: « A windswept farming community in southwest Kansas, Greensburg rebuilt ‘green’ after an EF5 tornado – the most violent – passed through at over 200 miles per hour and nearly wiped it off the map in 2007 A decade later, Greensburg gets 100% of its electricity from a wind farm, making it one of the few cities in the United States to be powered only by renewable energies It now has an energy efficient school, medical center, town hall, library and commons, museum and other buildings that save over $ 200,000 per year. in fuel and electricity costs, according to a federal estimate The city saves thousands of gallons of water with low-flow toilets and drought-tolerant landscaping, and at night its streets glow with LED lighting »
Photo credits: « LEFT: Main and Grant streets the day after an EF5 tornado that ravaged Greensburg on May 4, 2007, destroying about 95% of the community RIGHT: Main and Grant streets in August 2008 »
After pandemic, a revolution in education and work awaits An editorial by Thomas Friedman at the New York Times (paywall) resonated: « How we are providing more Americans with portable health care, portable pensions and lifelong learning opportunities to make the most of this moment and cushion the worst, that’s what politics should be after November 3 – Or we’re really headed for instability The reason for what the post-pandemic era will be so destructive and creative is that never more people have had access to so many cheap innovation tools, never more people have had access to high powered and good computing market, never have more people had access to such cheap credit – virtually free money – to invent new products and services, just as so many great health, social, environmental and economic problems must be solved. all of this together and KABOOM! «
Coffee and Green Tea May Reduce Risk of Death in Some Adults Having Another Cup Big Think Explains: « People who drank more than one cup of tea or coffee per day were less likely to die than those who did not have those who consumed the most tea and coffee, more than four and two cups per day respectively, had the most significant reductions in their risk of death This level of consumption was associated with a risk of 40% lower death More interestingly, the effects of drinking tea and coffee appear to combine to reduce the risk even further Those who reported drinking two or three cups of tea per day and two or more cups of coffee were 51% less likely to die during the study, while those who drank at least four or more cups of tea and two or more. several cups of coffee had a 63% lower risk of death «
WEDNESDAY: sunny, windy and milder Winds: SW 10-20 High: 48 THURSDAY: Blue sky, cooler breeze Winds: N 5-10 Wake up: 30 High: 41 FRIDAY: scattered clouds, not as cold Winds: SE 8-13 Wake: 32 High: 46 SATURDAY: Mix of clouds and sun, even milder Winds: W 10-15 Wake: 37 High: 53 SUNDAY: Sun, gusts and cold Winds: NW 15- 35 Wake: 29 High: 42 MONDAY: Sunny and pleasant Winds: NW 7-12 Wake: 30 High: 49 TUESDAY: Election day winner Soft sun Wake: 32 High: close to 60
As elections approach, Trump makes final push against climate science The New York Times (paywall) reports, « The Trump administration recently dismissed the chief scientist of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the the country’s first science agency, installed new political staff who questioned accepted facts about climate change and imposed tighter controls on reporting to the agency These measures threaten to stifle a major source of objective government information United States on Climate Change Underpinning Federal Greenhouse Gas Emissions Rules One of the first signs of change came last month when Erik Noble, a former White House policy adviser who had just been appointed chief of staff to NOAA, removed Craig McLean, the agency’s acting chief scientist »
A key player in the war on climate change? Pentagon CNNcom has an editorial that shows how the military can pave the way for clean, sustainable (more combat-resistant) forms of energy In fact, this is already happening: « Plus, as one of the largest and most complex institutions in the world, the Department of Defense can be part of the climate solution In its honor, the DoD has already invested more than $ 5 billion of its annual research and development budget in new technologies In the past, it has played an important role in the development of nuclear reactors, gas turbines and solar photovoltaic cells In the future, DoD could help accelerate the development of dual-use green technologies, ranging from fuels to cleaner, which alone account for over 50% of the DoD’s energy consumption, compact nuclear fusion, fuel cells, better batteries, micro-grids and storage technology. ogies «
GM and Ford Make Climate Change News 50 Years Ago Energy Trade Post Discovered I’m Shocked MarketWatch Tells The Story: « Scientists from Two of America’s Major Auto Manufacturers knew as early as the 1960s that emissions from cars and trucks caused climate change, but internal research was stifled as funding to undermine environmental causes persisted, a months-long investigation by a trade publication. energy E&E News found Environmental data pushed up the ranks within General Motors Corp and Ford Motor Co instead, was turned into decades of political lobbying by the two auto giants who undermined attempts global reductions in heat-trapping emissions In recent months, the two automakers have joined a wave of companies to set zero-emission target dates for decades to come, while meeting growing customer demand for electric vehicles »
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience Serial entrepreneur, Douglas is senior meteorologist and founder of Media Logic Group Douglas and a team of meteorologists provide weather services for various media and corporate interests at Praedictix Developers and engineers create unique streams of weather data, images and APIs through Aeris Weather He is co-host of a radio show, weekdays from 3pm to 6pm on WCCO Radio His speaking engagements take him across the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention no matter what company you work in. He is the public face of Bloomington-based « SAVE, » Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education Send a question to Paul
Tropical Cyclone, Mississippi
News from around the world – US – Refund for December last week: September 60 next week
